Monday, October 27, 2025

Articles by Jevans Nyabiage

2 articles found

Somali piracy has waned, so why is China’s navy still in the Gulf of Aden?
Technology

Somali piracy has waned, so why is China’s navy still in the Gulf of Aden?

A Chinese naval fleet including a guided-missile destroyer, missile frigate and comprehensive supply ship set sail earlier this month from a port in eastern Qingdao, heading to the Gulf of Aden and Somali waters. It was the 48th escort task group to be sent to the region in a Chinese navy programme that has been helping to protect commercial ships and counter Somali piracy since 2008, when there were numerous attacks by Somali pirates. Since 2013, however, there have been very few Somali pirate attacks, and in some years none at all. Yet, the Chinese navy has continued to rotate task forces to the Gulf of Aden on a regular basis, maintaining a continuous, uninterrupted anti-piracy deployment. The Chinese navy has also prolonged its stays, from four or five months to over 10 months in the previous two missions due to extended diplomatic port calls and heightened regional security concerns. Experts said there was a clear “evolution in duration and sophistication” of the naval escort task groups, with the anti-piracy missions in the Gulf of Aden evolving from a specific security response into a long-term strategic programme capable of transforming the Chinese navy into a modern maritime military force operating in global waters. David Shinn, a China-Africa expert and professor at George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs, said the task forces gave Beijing a rationale to establish a military base at Djibouti, which became operational in 2017. “The ongoing task forces give China an excuse to continue a permanent [Chinese] naval presence in the western Indian Ocean, to train its personnel and to test its ships and equipment under harsh oceanic conditions,” he said. After completion of their duty in the Gulf of Aden, Shinn said these task forces usually made port calls to build relations with other navies and routinise a Chinese naval presence in the Indian Ocean, along Africa’s Atlantic coast and in the Mediterranean. “This engagement has contributed enormously to the [Chinese navy’s] ability to become a blue-water navy,” he added. One example is when China’s guided-missile destroyer Baotou, part of China’s 47th naval escort task force, docked at the Port of Mombasa in Kenya last weekend for a five-day technical port call to undergo maintenance, replenish supplies, conduct courtesy visits and take part in joint drills. Paul Nantulya, an expert on the Chinese military who has written extensively about China’s activities in the Gulf of Aden, said in a report earlier this year that the People’s Liberation Army had conducted a total of 55 naval port calls and 19 bilateral and multilateral military exercises in Africa since 2000. Chinese military activities have become more frequent since the 2017 establishment of the Djibouti naval base, which is strategically located on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, according to Nantulya. As China’s first overseas naval base, it now serves as the crucial logistical hub that enables more sustained and extensive engagement. Nantulya told the South China Morning Post in an interview earlier this year that the People’s Liberation Army was an infantry-heavy force that had evolved to give the navy an increasingly important role. This is reflected in the military platforms being developed – such as destroyers, submarines, naval aircraft and even aircraft carriers. Notably, China, which did not have one carrier in 2008, is poised to put its third into service. A sizeable number of Chinese sailors, airmen, marines and soldiers have now been exposed to the complexities of operating overseas in such unpredictable environments, according to Nantulya, a research associate at the US National Defence University’s Africa Centre for Strategic Studies in Washington. He added that as China last engaged in active combat in Vietnam in 1979, the region had effectively become a testing ground for military troops. Alessandro Arduino, an affiliate lecturer at the Lau China Institute, King’s College London, and an associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, said the deployment of the escort fleet “reflects a renewed assertion of Chinese commitment to maritime security and the protection of international shipping”. He said the security environment off the Somali coast had improved significantly over the past decade, a development that coincided with China’s sustained participation. In contrast to the People’s Liberation Army Ground Force and Air Force, the navy has been able to test and refine its capabilities under real-world conditions of threat and uncertainty, according to Arduino. “[The navy] has enhanced its confidence in power projection and expeditionary operations,” he added. Arduino said the resurgence of jihadist activity affiliated with al-Qaeda and Islamic State across parts of East Africa reinforced China’s rationale for maintaining a forward naval presence capable of both protecting national interests and contributing to regional stability. The deployments in the Gulf of Aden have enabled China to effectively practice power projection, according to Nantulya. This was also key due to its rivalry with India, which saw the Indian Ocean as its sphere of influence, making the ability to operate effectively there crucial, he said. Further, China had used these deployments to conduct evacuations of Chinese nationals in distress, from countries such as Libya, Sudan and Ethiopia, Nantulya added.

China-made motor sales surge in South Africa, cutting into rival brands’ dominance
Technology

China-made motor sales surge in South Africa, cutting into rival brands’ dominance

Just a few years ago, Chinese-made cars were rare on South African roads, with manufacturers seen only as fringe players. However, this is quickly changing as Chinese carmakers now outsell some established Western, American and Japanese brands. In recent years, South Africans have increasingly been buying Chinese brands like Chery and Haval, a subsidiary of Great Wall Motor (GWM), driven by affordability and feature-rich vehicles. Banking on growing demand, several Chinese car brands are now eyeing manufacturing and assembly plants in South Africa. The cars are largely internal combustion engine vehicles, but there is no reason to doubt that electric vehicles will follow suit. The South African SUV market saw a major shift between January and August compared to the same period last year, according to S&P Global Mobility. Together, Chinese original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) grew their sales volume by as much as 86 per cent, boosting their total market share to 15 per cent. This was driven by Chery, whose volume rose 27 per cent to more than 16,000 units, and Haval, which saw a 45 per cent surge to over 12,000 units, according to S&P Global Mobility. Although Japanese leaders Toyota and Suzuki still command the largest volumes, their individual dominance is waning, with both brands recording a decline in market share in the same period. W. Gyude Moore, a distinguished fellow at the think tank Energy for Growth Hub and a former Liberian public works minister, said that if what one saw on the road was any indication, Chinese cars owned the foreseeable future of South African mobility. “I have been visiting Johannesburg now for a decade and there is an unmissable trend of an increase in Chinese vehicles on the road,” Moore said. Walt Madeira, principal analyst for Europe, the Middle East and Africa vehicle forecasting at S&P Global Mobility, said that Chinese carmakers were succeeding in winning over local buyers and challenging Western brands through competitive pricing, feature-rich vehicles, long warranties and aggressive market expansion. Unlike their competitors, Chinese brands integrate high-end features – such as large touchscreens, driver-assist technology and premium interiors – into their entry-level models as standard. Building on this growing commercial success and the strategic interest in local manufacturing, the South African government is incentivising carmakers to invest in the country. Given the good relations with China and the success of these vehicles, the government is very likely to promote financial advantages for Chinese OEMs to build vehicles locally, Madeira added. Alongside the shift in petrol vehicle sales, EV manufacturers, such as the Shenzhen-based BYD, have increased their market presence in South Africa and other African countries to diversify against mounting global tariff barriers. South Africa’s deputy minister of trade, industry and competition, Zuko Godlimpi, confirmed last month that discussions were under way with Chinese carmakers to invest in local production, particularly for hybrid and electric vehicles. “One area of their interest is to invest in hybrid vehicles and EVs because that is the market that they are servicing globally,” Godlimpi said. This push for local assembly is part of a dual strategy that includes a defensive plan to raise import duties to their “highest ceiling”, as Godlimpi put it, to prevent cheap imports from pricing out South African-manufactured cars. In response to the government’s proposal and the looming threat of higher import duties, Chery wants to set up a complete knock-down plant while GWM is currently holding talks with South African assemblers to start joint manufacturing of pickups. Moore said that in a price sensitive market, Chinese vehicles had the upper hand. He noted that as Chinese manufacturers faced increasing scrutiny in other markets, the growing significance of low and middle income regions made it sound business sense to develop local assembly and manufacturing capabilities there. Chinese carmakers are pivoting towards Africa for new growth, particularly in the EV sector, due to fierce competition at home and higher tariffs in the US and European markets. But despite their success, Chinese car brands in South Africa face challenges, including a still-growing service network and lower resale value compared to Japanese and Korean rivals. The core issue is that Chinese manufacturers prefer to export unless local assembly offers a major financial incentive. Some local manufacturers in South Africa who are unable to compete with Chinese imports on price have been pushing the government to impose import duties. However, Madeira believes the threat of new tariffs is low. “We do not envision South Africa introducing tariffs on Chinese exports, as this would sour relations and China has the superior strength in all negotiations across all industries with South Africa.”