Geopolitics Forecaster

1. Role OverviewMercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their domain expertise in a unique setting focused on enhancing AI reasoning models.2. Key ResponsibilitiesProduce structured forecasts on geopolitical events, risks, and regional dynamics Document your reasoning clearly, citing relevant sources and frameworks Assess political, military, and diplomatic developments using open-source intelligence Collaborate with other expert forecasters to compare and refine outputs Support the design and evaluation of forecasting tasks 3. Ideal QualificationsBackground in political science, international relations, security studies, or related fields Demonstrated forecasting experience or tournament participation (e.g., GJ Open, Metaculus) Ability to synthesize complex geopolitical information into structured insights Excellent written communication and research skills Familiarity with current global events and international affairs 4. More About the OpportunityRemote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule Expected commitment: :10–20 hours/week 5. Compensation & Contract Terms$105–125/hour for U.S.-based applicants You’ll be classified as an independent contractor 6. Application ProcessSubmit your Mercor profile or resume to get started You’ll complete a brief form We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps 7. About MercorMercor is a talent marketplace that connects top experts with leading AI labs and research organizations Our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Adam D’Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey Thousands of professionals across domains like law, creatives, engineering, and research have joined Mercor to work on frontier projects shaping the next era of AI